Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.222911 0.258167 0.298759 0.349309 0.411073 0.484730 0.580189
2025-05-25 0.170477 0.215430 0.273355 0.355021 0.469782 0.629423 0.876013
2025-06-01 0.138069 0.185428 0.251558 0.353820 0.514111 0.767266 1.223605
2025-06-08 0.115702 0.162593 0.232171 0.347830 0.545925 0.894345 1.615858
2025-06-15 0.103300 0.151038 0.225799 0.358538 0.605677 1.088721 2.243401
2025-06-22 0.090505 0.136357 0.211186 0.351073 0.629610 1.224090 2.836059
2025-06-29 0.082224 0.127418 0.204116 0.354830 0.675598 1.424839 3.752126
2025-07-06 0.074268 0.117774 0.194033 0.350305 0.702526 1.593864 4.737010
2025-07-13 0.069193 0.112330 0.190491 0.357822 0.758733 1.866697 6.391800
2025-07-20 0.065006 0.107864 0.187976 0.366799 0.821589 2.195260 8.758609
2025-07-27 0.061252 0.103689 0.185324 0.374822 0.885085 2.567860 12.048482
2025-08-03 0.058327 0.100693 0.184536 0.386950 0.964833 3.056461 17.254134
2025-08-10 0.054933 0.096489 0.180831 0.391783 1.027370 3.540895 24.176157
2025-08-17 0.051652 0.092165 0.176308 0.393784 1.083240 4.055931 33.845972
2025-08-24 0.048392 0.087538 0.170499 0.391238 1.123878 4.546824 46.410342
2025-08-31 0.045173 0.082674 0.163532 0.384146 1.146478 4.976100 61.797550
2025-09-07 0.043506 0.080875 0.163349 0.396201 1.247062 5.989370 101.189215
2025-09-14 0.040762 0.076521 0.156610 0.387722 1.263420 6.496041 137.682432
2025-09-21 0.038987 0.074100 0.154220 0.391973 1.336296 7.529821 222.862875
2025-09-28 0.036870 0.070740 0.149134 0.386845 1.366582 8.295696 331.638628
2025-10-05 0.035606 0.069168 0.148326 0.395362 1.465858 9.879756 636.440511
2025-10-12 0.034501 0.067853 0.148009 0.405541 1.580575 11.921146 1406.491793
2025-10-19 0.033415 0.066484 0.147386 0.414644 1.696867 14.352079 3600.297455